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Most likely outcome: Philadelphia Phillies (62%)
Factors analyzed: 7
Spread: PHI -172 •
Forecast model based on historical data • Forecasts are not betting advice • Updated July 2026
The matchup between New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies analyzed across 7 factors: season metrics, recent form, injury report and head-to-head history. Estimated percentages come from a model based on historical data, not from betting advice.
| Metric | New York Mets | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Season win % | 42% | 63% |
| Avg Runs for | 4.1 | 5.2 |
| Avg Runs against | 4.7 | 3.7 |
| Streak | W1 | W1 |
| Recent form | L | L |
If you choose to wager, compare the latest odds for New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies at Bovada and check the welcome bonus.
Check Latest Odds for New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies at Bovada →This match involves a team or venue located in Pennsylvania. Gambling laws vary by state — verify your local regulations before wagering.
According to our historical-data model, the most likely outcome is a win for Philadelphia Phillies (estimated probability 62%). This is a statistical projection, not betting advice.
The current spread is PHI -172. Verify on the sportsbook before wagering.
The total is set at 8.5. Verify current lines before wagering.
No. Forecasts are not betting advice. This page provides a pre-match statistical analysis based on historical data, season metrics and public news: no outcome is guaranteed. If you choose to wager, do so responsibly and only where legal. 18+/21+.
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