Let’s review my thoughts leading up to the Bet of the Day on Sunday. Bets were considered but not placed on Rashford to score at any time, Firpo to be sent off, and Fred to be sent off. Bet placed on BTTS in the opening half. 0-0 after 45 minutes of play. This column’s shocking week is summarised. Still, Monday affords us the opportunity to begin anew…
Back on the old match handicap markets to begin the week, we travel to Scotland for the Scottish Cup match at Recreation Park, where I believe Darvel’s fairytale run will come to an abrupt end.
Football Bet of the Day – Monday 13 January, 2023
- Back Falkirk-1 on the Match Handicap-1.0 Market at 9/5
On paper, Falkirk is a much easier opponent but the Bairns are in very good recent form and have only tasted defeat twice since the start of November. Once to top of the table Dunfermline and the other to Scottish Championship side Dundee. What is going to be of note is how tough it is to cause the second big upset on the spin as the next team will know all about what has gone on before.
If you just looked at the result from the Darvel vs Aberdeen game then you’d think it was a well-deserved win (and it was) but the stats alone don’t show the outrageously poor offside decision that went against the SPL side and the fact their goalkeeper that night had a game for the ages. Lots of things had to go right for the hosts to pull off the upset and expecting the same to happen on Monday night might be stretching it a bit.
There is also very little chance of Falkirk falling into the trap of heavy squad rotation. Expect John McGlynn to put out a very strong side and not to push his luck. Darvel’s season has been incredible so far but at some point the magic runs out and this feels like a burst your balloon type game and I think the visitors come away with a win by two or more.
*All prices correct at the time of writing.
Football Bet of the Day Profit/Loss 2023:
Staked: 36 Points
Returns: 40.88 Points
P/L: +4.88 Points
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